I seriously doubt the lake has turned over already. The surface temp would need to be getting down into the 40s for it to flip.
The water coming through the sluice is just oxygen-depleted, funky water that has been sealed off from the surface all year.
It seems to have a bad impact on the trout fishing every year when it comes through. I'm not sure if low oxygen despite the sluice is to blame, or acidic pH from all the sulfur, or some other explanation.
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